Global Outlook

  Egypt’s Sudan Strategy: Defending the State or Deepening the War? When the war in Sudan erupted in April 2023, Cairo immediately positioned itself as the responsible elder statesman of the Nile Basin. The message coming out of the Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs was polished, consistent, and seemingly unassailable: Egypt stood for Sudanese sovereignty, territorial integrity, and the preservation of legitimate state institutions. Abdel Fattah elSisi and Abdel Fattah alBurhan meeting Three years into a catastrophic conflict that has decimated Sudan’s infrastructure and created the world’s largest humanitarian catastrophe, that narrative has collapsed under the weight of its own contradictions. Egypt says it supports Sudan’s stability—but its steadfast alignment with the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) is actively reinforcing one side of a war rather than encouraging genuine compromise. The State Stability Paradox Cairo’s central talking point has always been the "preservation of ...

  Is Egypt Fueling Sudan's Endless War? Egypt says it supports Sudan’s stability—but its steadfast alignment with the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) may be reinforcing one side of a devastating war rather than encouraging compromise. While the international community attempts to broker peace, Cairo’s actions on the ground and in the diplomatic arena tell a different story. From Strategic Buffer to Forward Operating Base: Cairo’s Expanding Military Footprint Near Sudan The SAF’s Unwavering Partner Cairo’s longstanding military relationship with the SAF and political backing for Abdel Fattah al-Burhan form the bedrock of its Sudan policy. The Egyptian government has consistently supported Sudan’s military institutions, yet independent reports paint a picture of deeper involvement. Despite Cairo's official denials, EUAA and other observers have documented allegations of Egyptian aerial support, ammunition shipments, and intelligence assistance to the SAF. Egypt’s Sudan Strategy: From...